Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 3.782509 4.034222 4.304106 4.616751 4.971221 5.363390 5.833985
2024-10-06 3.521250 3.872027 4.269529 4.759628 5.356869 6.074006 7.021666
2024-10-13 3.218562 3.620037 4.094429 4.708912 5.504165 6.530960 8.018886
2024-10-20 2.956558 3.387083 3.913751 4.625519 5.597884 6.942999 9.084922
2024-10-27 2.712964 3.153681 3.708071 4.484162 5.595065 7.231087 10.087216
2024-11-03 2.618392 3.099043 3.725179 4.642567 6.041059 8.293291 12.833245
2024-11-10 2.554254 3.077680 3.784049 4.869600 6.643292 9.819285 17.589469
2024-11-17 2.407030 2.932467 3.657393 4.806316 6.773397 10.575768 21.489924
2024-11-24 2.263896 2.782301 3.510279 4.693462 6.800756 11.161541 25.859574
2024-12-01 2.150005 2.665151 3.401358 4.628807 6.906824 11.987987 32.960989
2024-12-08 2.053832 2.566725 3.312080 4.585969 7.049823 13.000990 44.732193
2024-12-15 1.995093 2.518264 3.294439 4.663173 7.457359 15.004674 79.624368
2024-12-22 1.894495 2.411945 3.193609 4.611073 7.653409 16.851556 185.918781
2024-12-29 1.833854 2.361420 3.177798 4.715936 8.262929 21.101597 NaN
2025-01-05 1.743955 2.260661 3.071713 4.635643 8.409671 23.932779 NaN
2025-01-12 1.658083 2.161056 2.959853 4.530246 8.471072 26.763694 NaN
2025-01-19 1.571663 2.055877 2.830959 4.374926 8.356614 28.607548 NaN
2025-01-26 1.538616 2.032588 2.840495 4.509990 9.169712 41.402972 NaN
2025-02-02 1.516222 2.024650 2.876188 4.710776 10.346772 75.119306 NaN
2025-02-09 1.458412 1.955722 2.796539 4.638996 10.536255 101.793076 NaN
2025-02-16 1.399571 1.882141 2.703227 4.523276 10.517781 130.464857 NaN
2025-02-23 1.351095 1.823363 2.633307 4.454889 10.680171 202.564573 NaN
2025-03-02 1.308847 1.772898 2.575424 4.408490 10.932448 431.977088 NaN